Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 12.79 | $0.938 | $12.68 | +$0.68 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 2.33 |
| $0.950 |
| $2.21 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 2.12 | $0.992 | $2.1 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.938 | $12 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Mamady Doumbouya win the 2025 Guinean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.998 | $5.5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 3.31 | $0.997 | $3.3 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Wild | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.912 | $1.5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.991 | $3 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Is Earth flat?No | buy | 12.24 | $0.980 | $12 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: AugustYes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Missing Epstein cell footage released by August 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 13.08 | $0.994 | $13 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by July 20?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.998 | $2.52 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.942 | $2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.890 | $1.2 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?Yes | buy | 13.08 | $0.994 | $13 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayYes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
 All New Orleans escapees captured by Friday?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high in May?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | May 20, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 4chan confirmed Fed operation?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Solana all time high by March 31?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.944 | $1.3 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.940 | $1.2 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.570 | $6.6 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Luigi Mangione motivated by denied claims?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.940 | $1.3 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will $TRUMP hit $25B FDV by Sunday?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 18, 2025 |