Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11.25K | $0.013 | $84.36 | -$65.76 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 591.96 | $0.008 | $4.74 | Mar 10, 2026 |
|
Nurax is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #3,111,708 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$5.92K observed lifetime PnL, 136 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 46.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x7830fb611e41955df7ab910c07e5ccf41d77783f
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 11.84K |
| $0.013 |
| $158.03 |
| Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 226.66 | $0.161 | $36.58 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 654.55 | $0.104 | $68.07 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.160 | $241.93 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 155.19 | $0.870 | $135.02 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | sell | 158.78 | $0.700 | $111.2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.800 | $40 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?No | sell | 58.43 | $0.986 | $57.62 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 158.79 | $0.760 | $120.68 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No | buy | 869.57 | $0.023 | $20 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?No | buy | 58.43 | $0.685 | $40 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 105.19 | $0.770 | $81 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 UEFA Women’s Euro: France vs. Germany (To Advance)Germany | buy | 103.2 | $0.194 | $20 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| UEFA Women’s Euro: France vs. Germany (To Advance)Germany | sell | 298.57 | $0.129 | $38.37 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| UEFA Women’s Euro: France vs. Germany (To Advance)Germany | buy | 298.57 | $0.067 | $20 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 4.56 | $0.840 | $3.83 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $290b and $300b on April 30?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.064 | $38.25 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 8K | $0.680 | $5.44K | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Selena Gomez married in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.261 | $5.22 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | sell | 1.1K | $0.031 | $34 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.680 | $407.92 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.720 | $5.76K | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $290b and $300b on April 30?Yes | buy | 347.3 | $0.068 | $23.58 | Apr 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.664 | $730.15 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?No | buy | 10.53K | $0.380 | $4K | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?No | buy | 1.11K | $0.018 | $20 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.014 | $20 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 36.11 | $0.900 | $32.5 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?No | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 222 | $0.009 | $2 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 222 | $0.009 | $2 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.010 | $21 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 200 | $0.008 | $1.6 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 5.56K | $0.018 | $100 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 5.2K | $0.018 | $92 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?No | sell | 177 | $0.840 | $148.68 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in March 2025?Yes | sell | 173.09 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?No | sell | 201 | $0.870 | $174.87 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 200 | $0.056 | $11.2 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 8.02K | $0.840 | $6.74K | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | sell | 7.87K | $0.042 | $332.5 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 87.61 | $0.228 | $20 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.280 | $420 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?No | buy | 215 | $0.219 | $47.11 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.