Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.012 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander DonskiAlejandro Moro Canas | buy | 3.87 | $0.750 | $2.9 | Aug 5, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 30.3 |
| $0.660 |
| $20 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 94.82 | $0.006 | $0.57 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.6 | $0.490 | $3.72 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 11.86 | $0.480 | $5.69 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?No | sell | 9.38 | $0.969 | $9.09 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 17.66 | $0.025 | $0.44 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.110 | $0.41 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | sell | 13.03 | $0.031 | $0.4 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat?No | sell | 15 | $0.060 | $0.9 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.600 | $1.01 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.720 | $3.95 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.840 | $1.07 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.292 | $2.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 29.8 | $0.093 | $2.77 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 21.54 | $0.233 | $5.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.899 | $1.07 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.914 | $1.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.977 | $1.1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.600 | $1.26 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.029 | $1.16 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 16.94 | $0.105 | $1.78 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.333 | $2.05 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | sell | 25.17 | $0.100 | $2.52 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 3.34 | $0.820 | $2.74 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No | sell | 3.31 | $0.840 | $2.78 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 6.63 | $0.430 | $2.85 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 4.98 | $0.584 | $2.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.300 | $4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.38 | $0.550 | $4.06 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.64 | $0.320 | $4.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 9.97 | $0.420 | $4.19 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Trump meets with Putin by September 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No | sell | 6.49 | $0.690 | $4.48 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 6.28 | $0.740 | $4.65 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | sell | 6.1 | $0.910 | $5.55 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 7.83 | $0.846 | $6.62 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.15 | $0.750 | $8.36 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes | sell | 11.42 | $0.610 | $6.97 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 15.56 | $0.690 | $10.74 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.550 | $1.03 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.330 | $0.57 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.540 | $0.85 | Jun 29, 2026 |