Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.400 | $11.1 | +$3.1 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.866 | $5 | 7d ago |
|
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.770 |
| $2.8 |
| -$4.9 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | 15 | $0.070 | $2.78 | +$1.73 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.066 | $1.87 | +$1.21 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 10 | $0.670 | $0.03 | -$6.68 |
| buy |
| 6.1 |
| $0.820 |
| $5 |
| 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.821 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.824 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | 11d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.74 | $0.466 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.78 | $0.464 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.397 | $3.97 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.397 | $7.94 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 21.18 | $0.320 | $6.78 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.75 | $0.004 | $0.03 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to AdvanceCabo Verde | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 21.19 | $0.236 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25.38 | $0.197 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.81 | $0.680 | $1.23 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.643 | $5 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.052 | $1.04 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.843 | $8.43 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.664 | $6.64 | May 19, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.19 | $0.808 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.072 | $0.86 | May 16, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.093 | $1.12 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 8.9 | $0.438 | $3.9 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.862 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Yes | buy | 18.86 | $0.050 | $0.94 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.280 | $4 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 25 | $0.230 | $5.75 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will DÁKITI be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.430 | $4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | Dec 10, 2025 |