Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.140 | $300 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.19K |
| $0.210 |
| $250 |
| Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.64K | $0.028 | $131.15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.498 | $1K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.02K | $0.124 | $500 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.24K | $0.988 | $2.22K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.24K | $0.490 | $1.1K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.014 | $20 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.014 | $20 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.25K | $0.080 | $900 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 462.62 | $0.130 | $60.14 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7K | $0.270 | $1K | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69K | $0.130 | $1K | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5K | $0.008 | $100 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.38K | $0.013 | $200 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.31K | $0.130 | $950 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.31K | $0.130 | $950 | Dec 31, 2025 |