Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 4 | $0.500 | $3.1 | +$1.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 3.33 |
| $0.600 |
| $2.62 |
| +$0.62 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 3 | $0.470 | $2.58 | +$1.17 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | No | 2.6 | $0.770 | $1 | -$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.08 | $0.490 | $0.92 | -$1.08 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 4.65 | $0.430 | $0.67 | -$1.33 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 2.9 | $0.690 | $0.41 | -$1.59 |
| buy |
| 9.52 |
| $0.210 |
| $2 |
| 1d ago |
 Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 2.39 | $0.540 | $1.29 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 10d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 12d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 13d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 28d ago |
 Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
 Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.397 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?Yes | buy | 3.65 | $0.548 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?Down | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |