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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 100 | $0.190 | $12.5 | -$6.5 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump post "Soccer" on Truth Social this week?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.180 |
| $11.5 |
| -$6.5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 10 | $0.560 | $4.95 | -$0.65 |
| buy |
| 5K |
| $0.001 |
| $5 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.530 | $818.11 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 110 | $0.844 | $92.84 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | sell | 160 | $0.592 | $94.7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | buy | 160 | $0.850 | $136 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.961 | $1K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | sell | 708.82 | $0.998 | $707.4 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.29K | $0.144 | $329.05 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | sell | 343.37 | $0.999 | $343.03 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | buy | 157.53 | $0.730 | $115 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 131.57 | $0.870 | $114.47 | May 29, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.500 | $710 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.500 | $47 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 206.89 | $0.230 | $47.58 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 29.4 | $0.500 | $14.7 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 22.64 | $0.520 | $11.77 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | sell | 102.04 | $0.999 | $101.94 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | buy | 149.57 | $0.669 | $100 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 545.82 | $0.190 | $103.71 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | buy | 36.28 | $0.744 | $27 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | buy | 526.32 | $0.760 | $400 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 147.06 | $0.680 | $100 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.380 | $50 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | May 23, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?No | buy | 23.44 | $0.640 | $15 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 485.83 | $0.206 | $100 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes | sell | 667.96 | $0.092 | $61.46 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 22.64 | $0.530 | $12 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.200 | $12 | May 20, 2026 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes | buy | 667.96 | $0.090 | $60 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 206.9 | $0.290 | $60 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.340 | $0.87 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.200 | $3.12 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.45 | $0.450 | $3.8 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.561 | $5.61 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?Yes | sell | 27.43 | $0.251 | $6.88 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?No | sell | 24.19 | $0.244 | $5.91 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.780 | $3.54 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?Yes | sell | 682.16 | $0.130 | $88.68 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.710 | $1.54 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 |