Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.993 | $1.34 | Oct 31, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 1.41 |
| $0.994 |
| $1.4 |
| Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.988 | $2.65 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.995 | $2.11 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.993 | $1.99 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.993 | $1.89 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.93 | $0.982 | $2.88 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.041 | $2 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.983 | $2.6 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.975 | $3.2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.975 | $3 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.982 | $4 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.987 | $3.21 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.983 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 4.12 | $0.971 | $4 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.67 | $0.974 | $5.52 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.969 | $5.08 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 628.7 | $0.023 | $14.46 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.84K | $0.360 | $1.02K | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 9.27 | $0.967 | $8.96 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.985 | $1.01K | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.992 | $1.02K | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win New York Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.28 | $0.970 | $9 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 22.06 | $0.890 | $19.63 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 22.06 | $0.890 | $19.63 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 35.62 | $0.551 | $19.63 | Oct 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 35.62 | $0.562 | $20.02 | Oct 11, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 192.85 | $0.458 | $88.33 | Sep 10, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 192.85 | $0.470 | $90.64 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 106.63 | $0.850 | $90.64 | Sep 6, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 106.64 | $0.860 | $91.71 | Sep 5, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 177.4 | $0.517 | $91.72 | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 177.41 | $0.517 | $91.72 | Sep 3, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | sell | 99.69 | $0.920 | $91.71 | Sep 2, 2024 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 99.69 | $0.940 | $93.71 | Aug 27, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | sell | 94.17 | $0.255 | $23.97 | Aug 26, 2024 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 94.17 | $0.741 | $69.74 | Aug 26, 2024 |