Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.93 | $0.682 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 29.41 |
| $0.034 |
| $1 |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.950 | $5.33 | Oct 2, 2025 |
| Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?No | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.987 | $13.82 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 13.63 | $0.950 | $12.95 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 9.61 | $0.996 | $9.57 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.999 | $11.89 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.440 | $6 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.957 | $11.39 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Jan 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" during victory rally?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 18, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jan 17, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.985 | $12.01 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Chiefs vs. SteelersSteelers | sell | 5.39 | $0.310 | $1.67 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.001 | $0.06 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Chiefs vs. SteelersSteelers | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Chiefs vs. SteelersSteelers | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 $MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.821 | $5 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.120 | $2 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran in October?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.626 | $1 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.875 | $1 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "border" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 No Israel strike Iran by Sunday Oct 20?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will RB Leipzig win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Borussia Dortmund win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Frankfurt win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Stuttgart win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 131.69 | $0.015 | $2 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will another team win the Bundesliga?Yes | buy | 787.05 | $0.006 | $5 | Oct 20, 2024 |
| Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 13.8 | $0.400 | $5.52 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 70k in July?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.818 | $1 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 China wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 22, 2024 |