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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 60 | $0.530 | $30.3 | -$1.5 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 410 |
| $0.138 |
| $22.55 |
| -$34.05 |
 Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 100.02 | $0.250 | $22 | -$3.01 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | Yes | 357.31 | $0.071 | $20.72 | -$4.65 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 150 | $0.200 | $15.75 | -$14.25 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $15 | -$5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.140 | $13 | -$15 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $12.9 | -$7.1 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.070 | $11.8 | -$16.2 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.450 | $11.6 | -$24.4 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.100 | $11 | -$9 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.400 | $10.25 | -$9.75 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.350 | $9.5 | -$25.5 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.085 | $9.15 | -$16.35 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.260 | $7.5 | -$18.5 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 300 | $0.070 | $6.9 | -$14.1 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 64 | $0.300 | $5.76 | -$13.44 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | Yes | 83.32 | $0.170 | $5 | -$9.17 |
 Will Lara D win AGT Season 21? | Yes | 200 | $0.050 | $4.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.500 | $2.58 | -$17.42 |
 Will there be between 90m and 95m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | Yes | 57.7 | $0.050 | $0.55 | -$2.34 |
 Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 6.54 | $0.020 | $0.01 | -$0.12 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.180 | $0.01 | -$1.8 |
| sell |
| 0.3 |
| $0.029 |
| $0.01 |
| Jul 22, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 500 | $0.007 | $3.5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | sell | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.079 | $31.6 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?Yes | sell | 95.02 | $0.018 | $1.71 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.277 | $13.85 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 999.99 | $0.017 | $16.85 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.044 | $4.4 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No | sell | 30 | $0.995 | $29.85 | May 29, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.673 | $13.46 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 30 | $0.693 | $20.79 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No | sell | 130 | $0.653 | $84.84 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.504 | $50.39 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No | buy | 20 | $0.849 | $16.98 | May 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.330 | $16.5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.180 | $3 | May 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 30 | $0.750 | $22.5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.260 | $0.29 | May 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.005 | $0.25 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 US bank failure by April 30?Yes | sell | 45.8 | $0.010 | $0.46 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Hailey Bieber pregnant in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.350 | $0.39 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.160 | $20.8 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.83 | $0.450 | $0.37 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.21 | $0.160 | $0.03 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.002 | $0.14 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.330 | $0.66 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | sell | 30 | $0.280 | $8.4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?No | buy | 400 | $0.009 | $3.6 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?No | buy | 5.59 | $0.841 | $4.7 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.002 | $1.54 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.022 | $0.01 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in March?Yes | sell | 0.44 | $0.070 | $0.03 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Iván Arias win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?Yes | sell | 127.2 | $0.031 | $3.94 | Mar 11, 2026 |