Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.4 | $0.910 | $4.07 | +$0.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.008 | $0.56 | Jun 2, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 18.53 |
| $0.270 |
| $1.02 |
| -$3.98 |
| buy |
| 142.86 |
| $0.007 |
| $1 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.270 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 147.46 | $0.881 | $129.98 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10 | May 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 103.48 | $0.966 | $100 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 146.02 | $0.678 | $99 | May 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.691 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.932 | $2.09 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | sell | 1.85 | $0.630 | $1.17 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.849 | $1 | May 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.2 | $0.960 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETDown | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETDown | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $4.99 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 5.42 | $0.920 | $4.99 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETDown | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETUp | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.42 | $0.920 | $4.99 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETUp | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $4.99 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETUp | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |