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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 4.68K | $0.820 | $4.02K | +$187.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.590 | $1.18K | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 8.42K |
| $0.450 |
| $4K |
| +$210.53 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.17K | $0.520 | $3.49K | +$277.83 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 5.39K | $0.487 | $3.05K | +$418.74 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 4.67K | $0.520 | $2.31K | -$116.72 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 3.5K | $0.500 | $1.91K | +$157.71 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.920 | $1.46K | -$7.99 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 7K | $0.233 | $1.13K | -$502.23 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 214.46 | $0.830 | $183.37 | +$5.36 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 219.54 | $0.690 | $172.34 | +$20.78 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | Yes | 450 | $0.510 | $132.75 | -$96.75 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 366.8 | $0.141 | $69.14 | +$17.42 |
 Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 290 | $0.590 | $50.75 | -$120.35 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.57 | $0.500 | $4.17 | +$0.89 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.592 | $0.09 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 8.42K |
| $0.450 |
| $3.79K |
| 2d ago |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 4.68K | $0.820 | $3.83K | 2d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.4K | $0.393 | $2.12K | 6d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 1.23K | $0.580 | $712.01 | 8d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 912.46 | $0.550 | $501.85 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.17K | $0.800 | $2.53K | 8d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | buy | 7.01K | $0.500 | $3.5K | 9d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.29K | $0.241 | $551.44 | 10d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.19K | $0.070 | $293.01 | 10d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 110.57 | $0.060 | $6.63 | 10d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?No | buy | 2.16K | $0.050 | $107.95 | 10d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.380 | $545.96 | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.72K | $0.383 | $1.04K | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 364.4 | $0.381 | $138.82 | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 205.01 | $0.460 | $94.3 | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 824.97 | $0.720 | $593.98 | 11d ago |
 Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.790 | $276.5 | 11d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 3.32K | $0.250 | $830.86 | 14d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 719.03 | $0.380 | $273.02 | 15d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 3.32K | $0.380 | $1.26K | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.69K | $0.052 | $243.13 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.920 | $1.47K | 17d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.388 | $135.8 | 17d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.277 | $569.79 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.57K | $0.040 | $182.76 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.05K | $0.050 | $152.72 | 22d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 17?Yes | buy | 467.71 | $0.129 | $60.25 | 22d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 17?Yes | buy | 153.68 | $0.030 | $4.61 | 22d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 16?Yes | buy | 594.86 | $0.059 | $35.29 | 23d ago |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.730 | $1.39 | 24d ago |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | sell | 9.89 | $0.070 | $0.69 | 24d ago |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No | buy | 217.64 | $0.690 | $150.17 | 24d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.180 | $204.26 | 24d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.170 | $28.9 | 24d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.199 | $39.84 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 15?Yes | sell | 749.99 | $0.280 | $210.05 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.044 | $0.22 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?Yes | buy | 241.08 | $0.044 | $10.72 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 348.17 | $0.010 | $3.48 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on August 15?Yes | buy | 595 | $0.035 | $20.58 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 15?No | buy | 381.98 | $0.720 | $275.03 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 15?No | buy | 300 | $0.670 | $201 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?Yes | buy | 469.32 | $0.159 | $74.56 | 25d ago |
 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?Yes | buy | 913.17 | $0.007 | $6.59 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.800 | $934.09 | 25d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.47K | $0.560 | $1.95K | 25d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.818 | $32.72 | 25d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 20–25%?No | sell | 230 | $0.999 | $229.77 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.35K | $0.225 | $979.39 | 25d ago |