Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? | No | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3.93 | +$0.93 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.4 | $0.470 | $2.54 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.23 |
| $0.930 |
| $3.11 |
| +$0.11 |
| buy |
| 12.5 |
| $0.160 |
| $2 |
| Jan 9, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.969 | $3.09 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.2 | $0.960 | $2.11 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.909 | $2 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 3.17 | $0.680 | $2.16 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.22 | $0.482 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 3.07 | $0.988 | $3.03 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Yes | sell | 73.17 | $0.047 | $3.44 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.53 | $0.410 | $4.73 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.28 | $0.780 | $3.34 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | sell | 15.78 | $0.270 | $4.26 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.041 | $3 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.999 | $3.7 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | sell | 73.17 | $0.045 | $3.27 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 73.17 | $0.041 | $3 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?ETH | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?Yes | sell | 3.19 | $0.972 | $3.1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?No | sell | 42.85 | $0.090 | $3.86 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?No | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.977 | $3 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?Yes | buy | 3.19 | $0.940 | $3 | Nov 8, 2025 |