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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 17.33 | $0.411 | $8.71 | +$1.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 9.42 | $0.590 | $5.56 | 21h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 28.57 |
| $0.210 |
| $5.57 |
| -$0.43 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 9.42 | $0.590 | $5.42 | -$0.14 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5.21 | +$0.21 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 6.34 | $0.790 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 5.36 | $0.720 | $4.21 | +$0.35 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.396 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| buy |
| 28.57 |
| $0.210 |
| $6 |
| 21h ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.961 | $11.71 | 21h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.396 | $1 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | 6d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | 6d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.750 | $9.86 | 6d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 6d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 28.7 | $0.090 | $2.58 | 27d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.041 | $0.41 | 27d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 28.7 | $0.090 | $2.58 | 29d ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 57.4 | $0.100 | $5.74 | 29d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 70 and 89 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 10.81 | $0.740 | $8 | 29d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 9.67 | $0.880 | $8.51 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.920 | $7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 7.13 | $0.439 | $3.13 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 5.71 | $0.400 | $2.28 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.573 | $4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETDown | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 7.97 | $0.376 | $3 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 14.18 | $0.282 | $4 | May 6, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 5.38 | $0.830 | $4.47 | May 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.620 | $3.34 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 3.59 | $0.930 | $3.34 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.36 | $0.720 | $3.86 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 9.68 | $0.620 | $6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 3.34 | $0.995 | $3.32 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.63 | $0.570 | $2.64 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.900 | $6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 10.95 | $0.972 | $10.64 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.810 | $2.91 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.392 | $4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 10.96 | $0.730 | $8 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp | sell | 3.69 | $0.880 | $3.25 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp | buy | 3.64 | $0.800 | $2.91 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.710 | $5.91 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.65 | $0.918 | $4.27 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.71 | $0.790 | $4.51 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 6.54 | $0.820 | $5.36 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 3.34 | $0.976 | $3.26 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Apr 4, 2026 |