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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 8.86 | $0.670 | $8.28 | +$2.35 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 9.01 |
| $0.660 |
| $7.79 |
| +$1.85 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 7.16 | $0.830 | $6.88 | +$0.94 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 7.25 | $0.820 | $6.82 | +$0.87 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 12 | $0.500 | $6.54 | +$0.54 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 8.09 | $0.735 | $6.46 | +$0.51 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 7 | $0.320 | $5.99 | +$3.75 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 9.65 | $0.616 | $5.26 | -$0.68 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9.97 | $0.590 | $5.03 | -$0.85 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9.42 | $0.550 | $4.1 | -$1.08 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.19 | $0.590 | $4.05 | -$0.78 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.390 | $2.76 | -$0.36 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 3.11 | $0.560 | $1.76 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 3.56 | $0.570 | $1.58 | -$0.45 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 6.94 | $0.857 | $1.16 | -$4.79 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.200 | $1.09 | -$0.41 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 9.74 | $0.610 | $0.88 | -$5.06 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 6.25 | $0.240 | $0.66 | -$0.84 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.39 | -$0.87 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | Yes | 6.26 | $0.211 | $0.37 | -$0.95 |
| buy |
| 9.84 |
| $0.610 |
| $6 |
| 18d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.32 | $0.530 | $6 | 25d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 7.79 | $0.770 | $6 | 26d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?Up | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | 27d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.590 | $2.95 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.320 | $2.72 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 3.74 | $0.770 | $2.88 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.750 | $1.9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 7 | $0.670 | $4.69 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.800 | $5.67 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.760 | $4.62 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.260 | $1.69 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.520 | $4.77 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.97 | $0.590 | $5.88 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.420 | $1.43 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.700 | $4.97 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.200 | $1.5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?Yes | buy | 6.26 | $0.211 | $1.32 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.590 | $4.83 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.560 | $1.74 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.42 | $0.550 | $5.18 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 2.59 | $0.740 | $1.92 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.580 | $5.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.480 | $4.44 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.680 | $6 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.09 | $0.760 | $5.39 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.570 | $2.03 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 7 | $0.670 | $4.69 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.410 | $5.94 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 8.86 | $0.670 | $5.94 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.660 | $5.95 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 8.09 | $0.735 | $5.95 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 31.27 | $0.190 | $5.94 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 9.06 | $0.656 | $5.95 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 9.65 | $0.616 | $5.94 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 26.18 | $0.227 | $5.94 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.857 | $5.95 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?No | buy | 8.86 | $0.670 | $5.94 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No | buy | 11.43 | $0.520 | $5.94 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.83 | $0.870 | $5.94 | Mar 6, 2026 |