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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 2K | $0.500 | $1.01K | +$10 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.876 | $17.52 | 4d ago |
|
| No |
| 2K |
| $0.500 |
| $990 |
| -$10 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 399.99 | $0.652 | $380.79 | +$119.8 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 499.85 | $0.480 | $284.92 | +$44.99 |
 Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | No | 300 | $0.687 | $281.85 | +$75.85 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.905 | $193.9 | +$12.9 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 400 | $0.497 | $178 | -$20.67 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.830 | $175 | +$9 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 155 | $0.812 | $149.81 | +$24.01 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 129.99 | $0.723 | $110.3 | +$16.35 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 100 | $0.840 | $99.95 | +$15.95 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.850 | $98 | +$13 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.880 | $97.05 | +$9.05 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.806 | $96.9 | +$16.3 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 99.98 | $0.640 | $95.49 | +$31.5 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.920 | $94.65 | +$2.65 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.890 | $93.5 | +$4.5 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.953 | $92.5 | -$2.8 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | No | 200 | $0.241 | $90.6 | +$42.3 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.870 | $90.5 | +$3.5 |
 Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.600 | $89.5 | +$29.5 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.820 | $86.5 | +$4.5 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.800 | $85.5 | +$5.5 |
 Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September? | Yes | 100 | $0.750 | $81.5 | +$6.5 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 642.84 | $0.130 | $80.36 | -$3.05 |
| buy |
| 36.72 |
| $0.865 |
| $31.76 |
| 5d ago |
 Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September?No | buy | 12.78 | $0.240 | $3.07 | 5d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September?No | buy | 145 | $0.040 | $5.8 | 7d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?No | buy | 95 | $0.820 | $77.9 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?No | buy | 45.69 | $0.810 | $37.01 | 12d ago |
 Will Bessent say "Facilitator" or "Facilitate" or "Facilitates" during press conference?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 15d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 34.04 | $0.050 | $1.7 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | sell | 536.99 | $0.313 | $167.97 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 350.27 | $0.550 | $192.65 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.920 | $91.99 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | sell | 375 | $0.550 | $206.25 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.170 | $68 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.914 | $91.4 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 155.26 | $0.010 | $1.55 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.935 | $93.48 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 516.98 | $0.400 | $206.79 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.729 | $14.57 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.300 | $35.1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.420 | $23.1 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 120.99 | $0.736 | $89.01 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 7 | $0.770 | $5.39 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 209.38 | $0.185 | $38.65 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?No | buy | 75.95 | $0.810 | $61.52 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?No | buy | 130.51 | $0.820 | $107.02 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 249.99 | $0.025 | $6.25 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.026 | $0.52 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.027 | $0.4 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.690 | $13.87 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?No | buy | 180 | $0.620 | $111.6 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No | buy | 66 | $0.165 | $10.89 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No | buy | 34 | $0.162 | $5.49 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 44.48 | $0.530 | $23.57 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | sell | 699.99 | $0.025 | $17.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.730 | $72.99 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.180 | $36 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 19.99 | $0.911 | $18.21 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.909 | $19.98 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.913 | $18.26 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.913 | $20.09 | Jun 28, 2026 |