Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.197 | $4.02 | -$4.18 |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.018 |
| $1.55 |
| -$0.25 |
| buy |
| 45.45 |
| $0.022 |
| $1 |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 3.95 | $0.760 | $3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will there be less than 8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 329.56 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.22 | $0.810 | $0.99 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.044 | $2 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.67 | $0.231 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 8.84 | $0.270 | $2.39 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 73.07 | $0.068 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.007 | $2 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.006 | $2 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 8.85 | $0.113 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 8.22 | $0.964 | $7.92 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Yes | sell | 4.56 | $0.223 | $1.02 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.070 | $0.64 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.010 | $0.27 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.57 | $0.219 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Miomir KecmanovicKovacevic | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.684 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.158 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |