Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 27.39 | $0.810 | $22.19 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1K |
| $0.044 |
| $44 |
| Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 266.67 | $0.600 | $160 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 58.13 | $0.228 | $13.23 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.010 | $2.8 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.086 | $5 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 645.16 | $0.031 | $20 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 88.81 | $0.539 | $47.87 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 88.81 | $0.194 | $17.23 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 4.67 | $0.610 | $2.85 | May 14, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 19.67 | $0.610 | $12 | Mar 16, 2025 |
 Will Hooters file for bankruptcy before June?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Mar 16, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.158 | $10 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.870 | $4.5 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 600 | $0.005 | $3 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 South Korean Dem Party leader arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 184.44 | $0.087 | $16 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Yes | sell | 1.56K | $0.019 | $30.26 | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.026 | $40 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.125 | $1 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 48.46 | $0.169 | $8.19 | Oct 7, 2024 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | sell | 37.26 | $0.220 | $8.2 | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 37.26 | $0.460 | $17.14 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | sell | 228.42 | $0.075 | $17.13 | Oct 5, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 228.42 | $0.038 | $8.68 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 640 | $0.013 | $8.32 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 640 | $0.025 | $16 | Sep 23, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 9.46 | $0.478 | $4.52 | Sep 21, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.47 | $0.528 | $5 | Sep 5, 2024 |
 'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day?No | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Republican | sell | 60.6 | $0.520 | $31.51 | Sep 2, 2024 |
 Will Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?Yes | sell | 42.19 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Biden drops out in July?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Will Barack Obama call on Biden to drop out?Yes | buy | 42.19 | $0.237 | $10 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 100.55 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 19, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Republican | buy | 60.61 | $0.660 | $40 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "unity" during RNC speech?Yes | buy | 29.73 | $0.740 | $22 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "ear" during RNC speech?Yes | buy | 23.44 | $0.640 | $15 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "fake news" during RNC speech?Yes | buy | 68.18 | $0.440 | $30 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Is $DJT real?No | sell | 592.79 | $0.915 | $542.49 | Jun 19, 2024 |
| Is $DJT real?No | buy | 592.8 | $0.843 | $499.9 | Jun 18, 2024 |