Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | buy | 18.79 | $0.940 | $17.66 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 20.4 |
| $0.762 |
| $15.54 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.981 | $20.02 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.81 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by April 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.085 | $3.4 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.272 | $10.86 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | sell | 14.22 | $0.987 | $14.04 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 14.23 | $0.968 | $13.77 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.970 | $6.05 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No | sell | 6.15 | $0.890 | $5.47 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No | sell | 18.57 | $0.979 | $18.18 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No | buy | 6.16 | $0.880 | $5.42 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?No | buy | 10.66 | $0.987 | $10.52 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No | buy | 18.57 | $0.826 | $15.34 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.830 | $2.41 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?No | buy | 24.2 | $0.900 | $21.78 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 35.05 | $0.690 | $24.18 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 35.05 | $0.750 | $26.29 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.850 | $19.32 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2025?No | buy | 2.73 | $0.999 | $2.73 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.998 | $1.49 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"?No | buy | 2.61 | $0.999 | $2.61 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.985 | $3.25 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran in 2025?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.997 | $4.34 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 8.25 | $0.983 | $8.11 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 23.22 | $0.977 | $22.69 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.46 | $0.810 | $3.61 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?No | buy | 18.36 | $0.840 | $15.42 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | buy | 12.68 | $0.993 | $12.59 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | buy | 9.39 | $0.899 | $8.44 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 North Korea missile launch by November 30?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.920 | $3.41 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Yes | buy | 11.91 | $0.800 | $9.53 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.47 | $0.660 | $2.95 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12.31 | $0.911 | $11.21 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 17.81 | $0.990 | $17.63 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 4.27 | $0.850 | $3.63 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 8.64 | $0.850 | $7.34 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?No | buy | 6.96 | $0.776 | $5.4 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer by October 10?No | buy | 3.99 | $0.999 | $3.99 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.999 | $8.1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.995 | $3.69 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?No | buy | 8.3 | $0.996 | $8.27 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.9 | $0.962 | $10.49 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?Yes | sell | 15.37 | $0.997 | $15.32 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?Yes | buy | 15.37 | $0.998 | $15.34 | Sep 4, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.91 | $0.959 | $10.46 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Syria strikes Israel by August 31?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.998 | $1.84 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.02 | $0.999 | $11.01 | Aug 26, 2025 |