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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.988 | $2.89 | Aug 6, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 2.65 |
| $0.927 |
| $2.46 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.960 | $2.55 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 600-700k people?No | sell | 2.08 | $0.975 | $2.03 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Will Trump deport 600-700k people?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.988 | $2.06 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 24?No | buy | 3 | $0.998 | $2.99 | May 22, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.994 | $3.02 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on April 4?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.989 | $2.99 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.997 | $2.98 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will "Nobody 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.999 | $2.97 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 27 be less than 2,000,000?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.990 | $2.94 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | sell | 2.96 | $0.995 | $2.95 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.985 | $2.92 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.998 | $2.91 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on December 16?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.986 | $2.87 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Skye Valadez confirmed perp?No | sell | 2.88 | $0.996 | $2.87 | Dec 14, 2025 |
Skye Valadez confirmed perp?No | buy | 2.88 | $0.993 | $2.86 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 2.88 | $0.995 | $2.87 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 2.88 | $0.979 | $2.82 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?No | sell | 2.84 | $0.993 | $2.82 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?No | buy | 2.85 | $0.991 | $2.82 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on November 20?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.994 | $2.8 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Pengu above $0.05 on November 30?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.911 | $2.81 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Pengu above $0.05 on November 30?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.970 | $2.99 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran by November 30?No | sell | 3.08 | $0.969 | $2.98 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Israel strikes Iran by November 30?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.950 | $2.93 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will turnout be 56% or higher in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.997 | $2.92 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be less than $140 on October 18?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.997 | $2.91 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.92 | $0.980 | $2.86 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Lula out before April?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.972 | $2.78 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.963 | $4.94 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Megaquake in January?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.960 | $4.86 | Jan 5, 2025 |
Will Binance delist Pnut by Friday?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.993 | $3.62 | Dec 19, 2024 |
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.35-1.39°C?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.971 | $1.89 | Dec 2, 2024 |
Will Job Amupanda be the next President of Namibia?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.998 | $2.36 | Dec 2, 2024 |
Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.985 | $2.1 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.981 | $1.11 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.932 | $0.94 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 0.95 | $0.971 | $0.92 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Fed rate hike in 2024?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.985 | $1.39 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Increase in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?No | buy | 0.61 | $0.998 | $0.61 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Republicans control 227 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 18.2K | $0.001 | $18.2 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Will Republicans control 227 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 37.83K | $0.001 | $37.83 | Nov 20, 2024 |