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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 74.93 | $0.754 | $71.86 | +$15.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 31.38 | $0.810 | $25.42 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 71.64 |
| $0.670 |
| $50.51 |
| +$2.51 |
| Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 46.57 | $0.950 | $44.47 | +$0.23 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 43.27 | $0.810 | $37.43 | +$2.38 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | No | 30.98 | $0.988 | $30.72 | +$0.12 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 44.7 | $0.560 | $29.28 | +$4.25 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 34.51 | $0.840 | $29.16 | +$0.17 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 115.72 | $0.037 | $15.39 | +$11.11 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | Yes | 43.93 | $0.270 | $9.66 | -$2.2 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 47.38 | $0.080 | $9.24 | +$5.45 |
 Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 80.86 | $0.110 | $5.26 | -$3.64 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? | Yes | 41.9 | $0.100 | $5.24 | +$1.05 |
 Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? | No | 33.06 | $0.180 | $5.12 | -$0.83 |
 Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026? | No | 126.47 | $0.034 | $3.79 | -$0.51 |
| Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 25.97 | $0.790 | $3.12 | -$17.4 |
 GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 46.47 | $0.150 | $2.79 | -$4.18 |
 Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 196.36 | $0.022 | $1.57 | -$2.75 |
 Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.41K | $0.003 | $1.41 | -$2.82 |
| buy |
| 25.97 |
| $0.790 |
| $20.52 |
| 5d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 34.51 | $0.840 | $28.99 | 5d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 36.81 | $0.930 | $34.23 | 5d ago |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 40.96 | $0.860 | $35.23 | 6d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No | buy | 30.98 | $0.988 | $30.6 | 8d ago |
| Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 31.38 | $0.840 | $26.36 | 10d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 36.82 | $0.940 | $34.61 | 14d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 37.47 | $0.650 | $24.36 | 15d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.47 | $0.680 | $25.48 | 16d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 47.38 | $0.080 | $3.79 | 16d ago |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 40.97 | $0.880 | $36.05 | 18d ago |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?Yes | buy | 41.9 | $0.100 | $4.19 | 18d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?No | buy | 33.06 | $0.180 | $5.95 | 21d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?No | buy | 126.47 | $0.034 | $4.3 | 22d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 44.7 | $0.560 | $25.03 | 25d ago |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.003 | $4.23 | 27d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 115.72 | $0.037 | $4.28 | 27d ago |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 196.36 | $0.022 | $4.32 | 27d ago |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | sell | 22.96 | $0.097 | $2.23 | 28d ago |
 Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes | sell | 32.93 | $0.950 | $31.28 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 47.71 | $0.968 | $46.18 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?Yes | buy | 32.94 | $0.950 | $31.29 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 41.68 | $0.670 | $27.93 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes | sell | 4.45 | $0.750 | $3.34 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?No | sell | 36.66 | $0.727 | $26.65 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 31.34 | $0.730 | $22.88 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | buy | 50.42 | $0.330 | $16.64 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the 2026 Clacton by-election by any margin?No | buy | 37.32 | $0.987 | $36.83 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | sell | 27.47 | $0.360 | $9.88 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?Yes | buy | 22.96 | $0.243 | $5.58 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?No | buy | 36.67 | $0.750 | $27.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 4.45 | $0.740 | $3.29 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 43.27 | $0.810 | $35.05 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 47.71 | $0.940 | $44.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 43.19 | $0.958 | $41.38 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 43.19 | $0.955 | $41.25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 47.44 | $0.700 | $33.21 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 41.69 | $0.580 | $24.18 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | sell | 9.55 | $0.340 | $3.25 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 23.23 | $0.443 | $10.28 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | sell | 41.96 | $0.960 | $40.28 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?No | buy | 37.02 | $0.500 | $18.51 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 44.7 | $0.700 | $31.29 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?Yes | sell | 33.43 | $0.940 | $31.42 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?Yes | buy | 33.43 | $0.950 | $31.76 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | sell | 19.53 | $0.250 | $4.88 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes | buy | 19.54 | $0.260 | $5.08 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | buy | 41.97 | $0.950 | $39.87 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | buy | 46.57 | $0.950 | $44.24 | Jul 20, 2026 |