Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 14.13 | $0.920 | $11.59 | -$1.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.98 | $0.977 | $8.77 | May 31, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.4 |
| $0.962 |
| $10.34 |
| +$0.34 |
 Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? | No | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | No | 4.93 | $0.945 | $4.83 | +$0.17 |
 No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | No | 4.49 | $0.890 | $3.66 | -$0.34 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 2.78 | $0.720 | $0.76 | -$1.24 |
| buy |
| 15.42 |
| $0.973 |
| $15 |
| May 31, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.1K | $0.958 | $4.89K | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 25?No | buy | 17.2 | $0.930 | $16 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?No | buy | 15.12 | $0.860 | $13 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 15?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.986 | $4.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 15?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.925 | $4.96 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 15?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.890 | $4.95 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 15?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.968 | $4.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 54.54 | $0.993 | $54.16 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | sell | 68.06 | $0.999 | $67.99 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.991 | $3.47K | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.41K | $0.992 | $2.39K | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 4.27K | $0.993 | $4.24K | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 4.23K | $0.992 | $4.2K | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 20.11 | $0.994 | $19.99 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.981 | $9.98 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.86K | $0.988 | $1.84K | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.44K | $0.993 | $2.42K | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?No | buy | 13.2 | $0.983 | $12.98 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.989 | $14.98 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.56K | $0.988 | $2.53K | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 5.99K | $0.990 | $5.93K | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 68.06 | $0.999 | $67.99 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 8.5K | $0.995 | $8.46K | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or higher on April 12?No | buy | 873.02 | $0.999 | $872.15 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 13?No | buy | 920.78 | $0.999 | $919.86 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 4.93 | $0.945 | $4.66 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.850 | $6 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?No | buy | 2.72 | $0.940 | $2.56 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be between 60 and 70?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.960 | $4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be less than 30?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.972 | $6 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?No | buy | 7.78 | $0.900 | $7 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.99 | $0.890 | $8 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.34 | $0.959 | $8 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027No | buy | 4.49 | $0.890 | $4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 4.32 | $0.926 | $4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 4.68 | $0.855 | $4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)Yes | buy | 7.11 | $0.985 | $7 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 54.55 | $0.990 | $54 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 'Tinder for kids' removed from App Store?No | buy | 6.84 | $0.880 | $6.02 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $490b and $500b on December 31?No | buy | 11.34 | $0.970 | $11 | Dec 15, 2025 |