Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.32 | -$0.69 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 111.94 | $0.630 | $70.57 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.070 |
| $0.7 |
| Apr 8, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?No | sell | 8.77 | $0.580 | $5.09 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 161.62 | $0.070 | $11.31 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.26 | $0.022 | $0.23 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 45.43 | $0.230 | $10.45 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | sell | 92.28 | $0.180 | $16.61 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 49.23 | $0.270 | $13.29 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 39.08 | $0.330 | $12.9 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 331.52 | $0.610 | $202.23 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 259.74 | $0.770 | $200 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 20.88 | $0.680 | $14.2 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Yes | sell | 279.46 | $0.051 | $14.19 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 732.23 | $0.870 | $637.04 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 739.7 | $0.861 | $637.05 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 50.03 | $0.290 | $14.51 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | sell | 30.87 | $0.470 | $14.51 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Yes | buy | 201.77 | $0.130 | $26.23 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Another Elon baby by June 30?No | sell | 4.93 | $0.800 | $3.94 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | sell | 23.71 | $0.940 | $22.29 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 31.34 | $0.290 | $9.09 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Yes | buy | 77.69 | $0.129 | $10 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Another Elon baby by June 30?No | buy | 4.94 | $0.810 | $4 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Yes | sell | 68.18 | $0.120 | $8.18 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 10.47 | $0.430 | $4.5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.180 | $4.5 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 170.24 | $0.290 | $49.37 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.061 | $2.44 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 356.41 | $0.300 | $106.92 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?No | buy | 23.72 | $0.850 | $20.16 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.100 | $0.91 | Mar 16, 2026 |