Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 0.4 | $0.720 | $0.39 | +$0.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.560 | $111.78 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 0.4 |
| $0.650 |
| $0.35 |
| +$0.09 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 0.4 | $0.660 | $0.35 | +$0.08 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 0.41 | $0.800 | $0.34 | +$0.01 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.820 | $0.34 | +$0.01 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.4 | $0.680 | $0.34 | +$0.07 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 0.4 | $0.700 | $0.32 | +$0.04 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.600 | $0.29 | +$0.05 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.720 | $0.26 | -$0.03 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.41 | $0.682 | $0.24 | -$0.04 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | Yes | 0.37 | $0.300 | $0.24 | +$0.13 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.610 | $0.24 | -$0.01 |
 Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 0.4 | $0.640 | $0.23 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | No | 0.59 | $0.320 | $0.22 | +$0.03 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 0.41 | $0.230 | $0.22 | +$0.12 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 0.4 | $0.440 | $0.19 | +$0.01 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.440 | $0.17 | -$0.01 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.41 | $0.350 | $0.17 | +$0.02 |
 Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | No | 0.16 | $0.730 | $0.15 | +$0.04 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 0.41 | $0.300 | $0.15 | +$0.02 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 0.4 | $0.510 | $0.14 | -$0.07 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 0.27 | $0.560 | $0.13 | -$0.03 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 0.41 | $0.450 | $0.12 | -$0.06 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 0.17 | $0.470 | $0.11 | +$0.03 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 0.4 | $0.300 | $0.11 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 199.6 |
| $0.820 |
| $163.67 |
| 4d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | sell | 99.8 | $0.590 | $58.88 | 4d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | 4d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 65.03 | $0.590 | $38.37 | 4d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 51.38 | $0.600 | $30.83 | 4d ago |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 6.15 | $0.610 | $3.75 | 4d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | sell | 128.11 | $0.270 | $34.59 | 4d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 47.91 | $0.680 | $32.58 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 52.04 | $0.690 | $35.91 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 134.43 | $0.460 | $61.84 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 65.7 | $0.510 | $33.51 | 5d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | sell | 114.11 | $0.270 | $30.81 | 5d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Yes | sell | 85.66 | $0.300 | $25.7 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 20.92 | $0.690 | $14.43 | 6d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No | sell | 196.42 | $0.150 | $29.46 | 8d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 199.59 | $0.430 | $85.82 | 9d ago |
| Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?No | sell | 74.84 | $0.690 | $51.64 | 13d ago |
| Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?No | sell | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.340 | $67.86 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.720 | $143.71 | 14d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.270 | $53.89 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.99 | $0.234 | $2.34 | 15d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.290 | $58 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.279 | $55.69 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.660 | $131.74 | 17d ago |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.610 | $121.76 | 20d ago |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.650 | $129.74 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.92 | $0.200 | $7.78 | 20d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.320 | $63.87 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60.92 | $0.672 | $40.94 | 22d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.800 | $159.99 | 23d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 199.96 | $0.220 | $43.99 | 26d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 180.04 | $0.300 | $54.01 | 27d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | sell | 19.96 | $0.500 | $9.98 | 27d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | sell | 30 | $0.510 | $15.3 | 27d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | sell | 150 | $0.530 | $79.5 | 27d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | sell | 136.56 | $0.250 | $34.14 | 28d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 82.34 | $0.450 | $37.05 | 28d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 150.09 | $0.720 | $108.06 | 29d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.73 | $0.827 | $7.22 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.390 | $77.84 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 199.6 | $0.800 | $159.68 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.384 | $76.86 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 199.6 | $0.530 | $105.79 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 63.27 | $0.780 | $49.35 | Aug 6, 2026 |