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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.998 | $1.45 | Jul 30, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 2.34 |
| $0.985 |
| $2.3 |
| Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.992 | $1.13 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.996 | $1.1 | May 29, 2026 |
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.965 | $1.4 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 4.43 | $0.994 | $4.4 | May 29, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or below on May 1?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.998 | $1.17 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.21 | $0.960 | $2.12 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.24 | $0.995 | $4.22 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.997 | $1.1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.968 | $2.1 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No | buy | 4.7 | $0.999 | $4.7 | Mar 27, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.969 | $1.4 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.18 | $0.913 | $2.9 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.999 | $10.28 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.960 | $1.3 | Jan 18, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.960 | $3.2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No | buy | 4.5 | $0.999 | $4.5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.960 | $1.7 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Wealthfront IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.93 | $0.985 | $1.9 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.974 | $1.6 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.971 | $1.4 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.973 | $1.6 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on October 20?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.993 | $1.1 | Oct 20, 2025 |