Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026? | Yes | 7.4 | $0.676 | $1.11 | -$3.89 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicDjokovic | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 1.82 |
| $0.550 |
| $0.91 |
| -$0.09 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 2.27 | $0.440 | $0.81 | -$0.19 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
| buy |
| 7.4 |
| $0.676 |
| $5 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.866 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.034 | $0.23 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (H.B. 1598) signed in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $600M and $800M?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.841 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Rick Rieder as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.093 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Cătălin Cîrstoiu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Muhammad | buy | 5.72 | $0.290 | $1.66 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.850 | $1.09 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will Ashton Jeanty be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.996 | $5.01 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Jonathan Taylor be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |