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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 21.05 | $0.140 | $2.95 | Apr 24, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 45.45 |
| $0.087 |
| $3.94 |
| Apr 24, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 11.49 | $0.790 | $9.08 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will US annex any territory in 2026?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.880 | $9.78 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Another S&P 500 All Time High by April 23?Yes | buy | 16.46 | $0.970 | $15.96 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will US annex any territory in 2026?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | sell | 14.92 | $0.830 | $12.38 | Feb 21, 2026 |
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?No | buy | 15.79 | $0.950 | $15 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.160 | $15 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Aspinall vs. GaneAspinall | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $250 in October?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Sep 24, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 5.93 | $0.944 | $5.6 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.380 | $8 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on September 13?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.900 | $11 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $240 in September?Yes | buy | 14.15 | $0.530 | $7.5 | Sep 9, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.080 | $1.82 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 September 1–7?Yes | buy | 14.89 | $0.470 | $7 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4400 August 18–24?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Yes | buy | 8.71 | $0.620 | $5.4 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?Yes | buy | 15.92 | $0.314 | $5 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?Yes | sell | 42.37 | $0.035 | $1.5 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.200 | $3.85 | Jul 14, 2025 |
US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.8 | $0.500 | $6.9 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | sell | 24.59 | $0.690 | $16.97 | Jul 14, 2025 |
New X CEO announced by July 31?Yes | buy | 21.25 | $0.280 | $5.95 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 12.96 | $0.771 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.118 | $5 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 24.59 | $0.610 | $15 | Jul 12, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?Yes | buy | 55.87 | $0.179 | $10 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Jun 10, 2025 |
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jun 10, 2025 |