Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 35 | $0.973 | $34.95 | +$0.89 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 122 | $0.670 | $81.74 | Apr 27, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 0.84 |
| $0.810 |
| $0.78 |
| +$0.1 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 16 | $0.320 | $0.48 | -$4.64 |
| sell |
| 478 |
| $0.670 |
| $320.26 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.700 | $420 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 168 | $0.590 | $99.12 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | sell | 75 | $0.590 | $44.25 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?No | sell | 678 | $0.820 | $555.96 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?No | sell | 195 | $0.820 | $159.9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 245 | $0.760 | $186.2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 139 | $0.760 | $105.64 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?No | buy | 873 | $0.890 | $776.97 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 243 | $0.600 | $145.8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 384 | $0.700 | $268.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | sell | 115 | $0.523 | $60.19 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Clear Street Group Inc. not IPO before April 2026?No | sell | 96 | $0.025 | $2.4 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Clear Street Group Inc. not IPO before April 2026?No | sell | 131 | $0.025 | $3.28 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.580 | $4.64 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | sell | 215 | $0.570 | $122.55 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | sell | 322 | $0.068 | $21.9 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?No | sell | 89 | $0.320 | $28.48 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?No | sell | 304 | $0.320 | $97.28 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 169 | $0.340 | $57.46 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.340 | $12.24 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?No | sell | 331 | $0.724 | $239.64 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 9 be between 70 and 80?No | sell | 28 | $0.050 | $1.4 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No | sell | 204 | $0.300 | $61.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Clear Street Group Inc. not IPO before April 2026?No | buy | 227 | $0.128 | $29.06 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?No | buy | 338 | $0.560 | $189.28 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?No | buy | 331 | $0.676 | $223.76 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 393 | $0.470 | $184.71 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 205 | $0.380 | $77.9 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?No | buy | 204 | $0.290 | $59.16 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 9 be between 70 and 80?No | buy | 28 | $0.380 | $10.64 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 322 | $0.101 | $32.52 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)No | sell | 46 | $0.570 | $26.22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?No | buy | 670 | $0.330 | $221.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)No | buy | 46 | $0.870 | $40.02 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 622 | $0.696 | $432.91 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 68 | $0.580 | $39.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 622 | $0.743 | $462.15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 68 | $0.570 | $38.76 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?No | sell | 591 | $0.660 | $390.06 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?No | sell | 284 | $0.660 | $187.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?No | buy | 875 | $0.760 | $665 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 UNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston CougarsCharleston Cougars | buy | 630 | $0.680 | $428.4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | sell | 174 | $0.450 | $78.3 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 271 | $0.750 | $203.25 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?No | buy | 414 | $0.999 | $413.59 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 88 | $0.985 | $86.68 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will "Black and White" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)No | sell | 376 | $0.760 | $285.76 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?Yes | sell | 67 | $0.260 | $17.42 | Feb 21, 2026 |