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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.110 | $45.36 | +$35.36 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 516.06 | $0.019 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 58.72 |
| $0.170 |
| $7.49 |
| -$2.51 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.120 | $2.29 | -$2.71 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $2.08 | -$2.93 |
| buy |
| 58.72 |
| $0.170 |
| $10 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
| AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 215.74 | $0.046 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?Yes | buy | 376.69 | $0.027 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?Yes | buy | 602.57 | $0.017 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.086 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 82.76 | $0.060 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.79 | $0.085 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 695.19 | $0.007 | $5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed real?Yes | buy | 122.22 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 299.63 | $0.017 | $5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.035 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 242.34 | $0.021 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil raise the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 212.28 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 48.41 | $0.021 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 322.21 | $0.016 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 345.47 | $0.014 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 35.33 | $0.142 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?Yes | buy | 183.09 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?Yes | buy | 94.43 | $0.011 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 22-28?Yes | buy | 259.64 | $0.019 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.063 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 27?Yes | buy | 395.78 | $0.013 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 445.96 | $0.011 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 27?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |