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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.120 | $0.01 | Jun 8, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 2.04 |
| $0.983 |
| $2.01 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | sell | 114.37 | $0.860 | $98.36 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 2.29K | $0.150 | $343.43 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 18.83K | $0.390 | $7.34K | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | sell | 25.51K | $0.180 | $4.59K | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 45.6K | $0.590 | $26.9K | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 87 | $0.390 | $33.93 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 54 | $0.390 | $21.06 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 30.86K | $0.410 | $12.65K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.8K | $0.358 | $8.88K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 6.95K | $0.525 | $3.65K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.580 | $29K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 56.63K | $0.370 | $20.95K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 29.2K | $0.180 | $5.26K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 87 | $0.330 | $28.71 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 84.36 | $0.230 | $19.4 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | sell | 378.01 | $0.230 | $86.94 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 1.38K | $0.830 | $1.15K | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 783.37 | $0.440 | $344.68 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 13.12K | $0.170 | $2.23K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.46K | $0.490 | $1.21K | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 12.13K | $0.170 | $2.06K | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 2.33K | $0.942 | $2.19K | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 24.85K | $0.943 | $23.44K | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 10.75K | $0.244 | $2.63K | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 729.21 | $0.300 | $218.76 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.49K | $0.540 | $806.02 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | sell | 2.34K | $0.060 | $140.32 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 11.82K | $0.320 | $3.78K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 10.08K | $0.530 | $5.34K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 37.36K | $0.060 | $2.24K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 18.12K | $0.320 | $5.8K | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | sell | 419.7 | $0.570 | $239.23 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.62K | $0.330 | $534.59 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 29.89K | $0.330 | $9.86K | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 134.54 | $0.070 | $9.42 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 10.52K | $0.380 | $4K | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | sell | 9.86K | $0.110 | $1.08K | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.91K | $0.370 | $706.11 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 10.89K | $0.110 | $1.2K | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 41.53K | $0.880 | $36.55K | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 518.58 | $0.140 | $72.6 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.146 | $263.39 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.130 | $182.9 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.160 | $338.95 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.380 | $528.41 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | sell | 29.3K | $0.160 | $4.69K | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.330 | $443.35 | Mar 9, 2026 |