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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 11.93K | $0.805 | $11.46K | +$1.86K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.480 | $20 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.5K |
| $0.700 |
| $1.31K |
| +$262.5 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 99.99 | $0.380 | $72 | +$34 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 14.78 | $0.080 | $0.42 | -$0.76 |
| sell |
| 212.33 |
| $0.469 |
| $99.67 |
| Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | buy | 9.78 | $0.080 | $0.78 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 581 | $0.469 | $272.44 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 883.98 | $0.905 | $800 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.304 | $151.78 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?No | sell | 983 | $0.999 | $982.02 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 135.52 | $0.630 | $85.38 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?No | buy | 883 | $0.880 | $777.02 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.500 | $750 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.4K | $0.850 | $2.04K | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?Yes | sell | 425 | $0.020 | $8.51 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?No | buy | 220.75 | $0.906 | $200 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.013 | $13.25 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?No | buy | 46.72 | $0.150 | $7.01 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.012 | $12.48 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 550 | $0.934 | $513.85 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.090 | $45 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?No | buy | 790 | $0.940 | $742.6 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.420 | $252 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | sell | 662.19 | $0.975 | $645.64 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 700 | $0.840 | $588 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.860 | $1.12K | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 300 | $0.880 | $264 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?No | sell | 46 | $0.974 | $44.8 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1K | $0.860 | $860 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 62.08 | $0.850 | $52.77 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 170 | $0.880 | $149.6 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 75.19 | $0.850 | $63.91 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 373 | $0.880 | $328.24 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 1.18K | $0.981 | $1.16K | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 113.96 | $0.940 | $107.13 | Nov 22, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 107.51 | $0.980 | $105.36 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 80 | $0.940 | $75.2 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.975 | $390 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.700 | $1.05K | Nov 15, 2025 |
 First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?Yes | sell | 100.02 | $0.120 | $12 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?Yes | buy | 206 | $0.210 | $43.26 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?No | buy | 46 | $0.931 | $42.81 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?Yes | sell | 244 | $0.222 | $54.12 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 179.42 | $0.830 | $148.92 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | sell | 544 | $0.965 | $525.13 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?Yes | sell | 146 | $0.062 | $9.05 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| First enacted funding bill include ACA premium subsidy extension?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.337 | $67.34 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes | sell | 230 | $0.141 | $32.33 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.750 | $112.5 | Oct 22, 2025 |