Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 35 | $0.870 | $30.28 | -$0.18 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 35 | $0.870 | $30.45 | 17d ago |
 |
| No |
| 32.11 |
| $0.860 |
| $28.1 |
| +$0.48 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.880 | $27.15 | +$0.75 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 19 | $0.820 | $16.06 | +$0.48 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 31 | $0.470 | $7.29 | -$7.29 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 5 | $0.700 | $4.38 | +$0.88 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 188.24 | $0.016 | $1.98 | -$1.12 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 200 | $0.005 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| sell |
| 15 |
| $0.870 |
| $13.05 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17 | $0.736 | $12.51 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 32 | $0.440 | $14.08 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 26?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 26?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.290 | $2.9 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 26?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.330 | $1.65 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.39 | $0.890 | $5.69 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 24?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.999 | $2.7 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.770 | $6.93 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 12 | $0.810 | $9.72 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.440 | $9.68 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 13 | $0.770 | $10.01 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - July 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.790 | $5.53 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETDown | sell | 5 | $0.050 | $0.25 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?No | buy | 16 | $0.979 | $15.66 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 8 | $0.700 | $5.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.59 | $0.582 | $14.31 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 31 | $0.470 | $14.57 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 27.15 | $0.530 | $14.39 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 6 | $0.898 | $5.39 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 88.24 | $0.017 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.870 | $13.05 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 29 | $0.820 | $23.78 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 29 | $0.806 | $23.37 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.550 | $4.4 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10.23 | $0.550 | $5.63 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.59 | $0.610 | $15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |