Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10.78 | +$0.78 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?No | sell | 154.51 | $0.851 | $131.53 | Jul 23, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 11.63 |
| $0.430 |
| $2.62 |
| -$2.38 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.82 | $0.390 | $0.83 | -$4.17 |
| buy |
| 43.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $13 |
| Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?No | buy | 105.3 | $0.190 | $20 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?No | sell | 11.24 | $0.991 | $11.14 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 13.88 | $0.820 | $11.38 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 34.14 | $0.510 | $17.41 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 8.96 | $0.670 | $6 | May 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp | sell | 11.62 | $0.050 | $0.58 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown | sell | 22.72 | $0.250 | $5.68 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown | sell | 10.63 | $0.490 | $5.21 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETDown | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETUp | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown | sell | 10.86 | $0.060 | $0.65 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETDown | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp | sell | 9.8 | $0.550 | $5.39 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETUp | sell | 6.09 | $0.890 | $5.42 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.380 | $10.86 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETUp | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | sell | 9.08 | $0.610 | $5.54 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 9.08 | $0.550 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | sell | 5.15 | $0.980 | $5.05 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | sell | 6.25 | $0.920 | $5.75 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETDown | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown | sell | 6.49 | $0.800 | $5.19 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | sell | 11.62 | $0.190 | $2.21 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETUp | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETDown | sell | 5.68 | $0.960 | $5.45 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETDown | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp | sell | 12.82 | $0.470 | $6.03 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | sell | 13.07 | $0.920 | $12.02 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | sell | 9.26 | $0.570 | $5.28 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | sell | 12.19 | $0.580 | $7.07 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETUp | sell | 5.68 | $0.890 | $5.06 | May 22, 2026 |