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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 400 | $0.983 | $395.8 | +$2.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 150 |
| $0.962 |
| $145.42 |
| +$1.08 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 100 | $0.592 | $73.5 | +$14.3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 46.36 | $0.960 | $44.95 | +$0.44 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.950 | $43.75 | -$3.75 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 40 | $0.962 | $39.14 | +$0.64 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 40 | $0.890 | $35.4 | -$0.2 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.660 | $29.4 | +$3 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.942 | $28.43 | +$0.17 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 30 | $0.780 | $25.65 | +$2.25 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 35 | $0.673 | $23.98 | +$0.43 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 26.17 | $0.833 | $22.64 | +$0.84 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 30 | $0.703 | $21.75 | +$0.65 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.965 | $19.85 | +$0.55 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 101.27 | $0.493 | $12.66 | -$37.24 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 19.4 | $0.500 | $10.77 | +$1.07 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.480 | $10.5 | +$0.9 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 10 | $0.970 | $9.89 | +$0.19 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 10 | $0.938 | $9.72 | +$0.34 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | $0.605 | $9.1 | -$3 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.490 | $8.9 | -$0.9 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.182 | $7.25 | -$1.85 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.445 | $5.92 | +$1.47 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.500 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.510 | $4.95 | -$0.15 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.490 |
| $9.8 |
| 5d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | 9d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | 9d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 19.4 | $0.500 | $9.7 | 9d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 8.24 | $0.965 | $7.95 | 11d ago |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.033 | $3.3 | 11d ago |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.963 | $48.15 | 11d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.950 | $5.59 | 11d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | 11d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | 11d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | 11d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.957 | $9.57 | 13d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 13d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.672 | $6.72 | 16d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 17d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 50 | $0.992 | $49.6 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | 21d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 22d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20 | $0.963 | $19.26 | 22d ago |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.327 | $16.35 | 22d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | 26d ago |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | 26d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 27d ago |
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | 28d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 20 | $0.984 | $19.68 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 50 | $0.870 | $43.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.034 | $1.7 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.788 | $7.88 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.889 | $8.89 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 40.5 | $0.160 | $6.48 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.227 | $11.35 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.775 | $15.5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.780 | $23.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.265 | $5.3 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.763 | $22.89 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.229 | $6.87 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.059 | $1.77 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 46.36 | $0.960 | $44.51 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Jul 17, 2026 |