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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 358.45 | $0.110 | $39.43 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 618.66 |
| $0.040 |
| $25 |
| Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 690.39 | $0.029 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 770.71 | $0.026 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.042 | $50 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.050 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 229.47 | $0.026 | $6 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 531.53 | $0.038 | $20 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 11.99 | $0.417 | $5 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.390 | $18 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 42.98 | $0.349 | $15 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.999 | $20.38 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jun 12, 2025 |