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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 2.08K | $0.308 | $633.48 | -$5.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.54K | $0.160 | $406.16 | 12d ago |
|
| No |
| 147.06 |
| $0.680 |
| $118.39 |
| +$18.38 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 96.09 | $0.208 | $31.71 | +$11.71 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 372.37 | $0.102 | $24.2 | -$13.6 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 210.32 | $0.475 | $22.08 | -$77.92 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 141.78 | $0.219 | $21.48 | -$9.52 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $7.94 | -$2.06 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 34.97 | $0.286 | $5.72 | -$4.28 |
 Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? | Yes | 75 | $0.120 | $4.13 | -$4.88 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 24.99 | $0.400 | $2.37 | -$7.63 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.070 | $2.14 | -$7.86 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 15 | $0.200 | $2.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 19.86 | $0.101 | $1.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $0.99 | -$4.01 |
 Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? | Yes | 13.89 | $0.144 | $0.87 | -$1.13 |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 53.35 | $0.019 | $0.64 | -$0.36 |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.022 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.025 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
 Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
| buy |
| 147.06 |
| $0.680 |
| $100 |
| 16d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 595.16 | $0.126 | $75 | 22d ago |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 872.87 | $0.086 | $75 | 24d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | 24d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 558.73 | $0.132 | $74 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 96.09 | $0.208 | $20 | 24d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 106.67 | $0.150 | $16 | 24d ago |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Yes | buy | 134.71 | $0.148 | $20 | 24d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 145.94 | $0.480 | $70 | 25d ago |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.480 | $100 | 25d ago |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 63.76 | $0.233 | $14.86 | 25d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 73.17 | $0.750 | $54.88 | 25d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.170 | $176.8 | 25d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.294 | $500 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.284 | $284 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.274 | $400 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.13K | $0.190 | $214.06 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.51K | $0.190 | $286.07 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes | sell | 603.11 | $0.349 | $210.57 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 209.1 | $0.160 | $33.46 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 471.43 | $0.090 | $42.64 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 330.77 | $0.080 | $26.46 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 263.91 | $0.150 | $39.59 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 313.07 | $0.110 | $34.44 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 73.45 | $0.375 | $27.52 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 73.17 | $0.410 | $30 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 315.38 | $0.130 | $41 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 364.44 | $0.160 | $58.31 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 446.3 | $0.169 | $75.44 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 559.16 | $0.070 | $39.14 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | sell | 737.63 | $0.160 | $118.02 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.300 | $27 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 39.87 | $0.446 | $17.78 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 514.17 | $0.060 | $30.85 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.87K | $0.018 | $33.73 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 956.59 | $0.050 | $47.83 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.300 | $25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 232.2 | $0.323 | $75 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 139.43 | $0.359 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 153.63 | $0.325 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 156.05 | $0.320 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.350 | $25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 96.15 | $0.260 | $25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.520 | $40 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 777.78 | $0.090 | $70 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 970.22 | $0.310 | $300.77 | Jul 31, 2026 |