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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 14.27 | $0.820 | $13.75 | +$2.05 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?Yes | buy | 11.38 | $0.940 | $10.7 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 11.7 |
| $0.940 |
| $11 |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.986 | $10.85 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 21.34 | $0.510 | $10.88 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 21.35 | $0.520 | $11.1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 11.02 | $0.962 | $10.6 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 14.27 | $0.820 | $11.7 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 12.45 | $0.950 | $11.83 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 10.54 | $0.920 | $9.7 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by February 12?Yes | sell | 9.6 | $0.995 | $9.55 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by February 12?Yes | buy | 9.6 | $0.987 | $9.48 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | sell | 10 | $0.964 | $9.64 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 11.98 | $0.967 | $11.58 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.961 | $9.61 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?No | sell | 9.69 | $0.987 | $9.56 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 11.58 | $0.986 | $11.42 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10.82 | $0.957 | $10.35 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 10.69 | $0.968 | $10.35 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?No | buy | 11.46 | $0.995 | $11.4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?No | buy | 9.69 | $0.980 | $9.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No | buy | 11.18 | $0.993 | $11.1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.46 | $0.920 | $11.46 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10.69 | $0.954 | $10.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.988 | $10.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?Yes | buy | 10.44 | $0.958 | $10 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | sell | 10.48 | $0.983 | $10.3 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?No | buy | 10.49 | $0.967 | $10.14 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.988 | $10.05 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.981 | $10.96 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 41.47 | $0.984 | $40.81 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 41.47 | $0.950 | $39.4 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 39.47 | $0.973 | $38.4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Hungary join the Board of Peace?Yes | sell | 38.43 | $0.999 | $38.39 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Hungary join the Board of Peace?Yes | buy | 38.43 | $0.994 | $38.2 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 39.77 | $0.963 | $38.3 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.67 | $0.890 | $18.4 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?No | sell | 18.39 | $0.978 | $17.99 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.1 | $0.890 | $17 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 17.34 | $0.992 | $17.2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?No | buy | 18.39 | $0.979 | $18 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30?No | sell | 19.81 | $0.912 | $18.07 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?No | buy | 17.14 | $0.986 | $16.9 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 16.75 | $0.985 | $16.5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.04 | $0.974 | $16.6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.04 | $0.974 | $16.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |