Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 500 | $0.500 | $379.25 | +$129.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran strike Oman again in March?Yes | buy | 24.51 | $0.638 | $15.64 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 500 |
| $0.500 |
| $120.75 |
| -$129.24 |
| buy |
| 49.37 |
| $0.969 |
| $47.86 |
| Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.882 | $187.66 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.854 | $56.36 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.897 | $87.91 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.921 | $92.1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.926 | $92.6 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 112.6 | $0.937 | $105.48 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.939 | $46.95 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.939 | $46.95 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 95.8 | $0.938 | $89.85 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.938 | $46.9 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.997 | $199.4 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 989.98 | $0.998 | $988 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 105.95 | $0.400 | $42.38 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 105.96 | $0.340 | $35.99 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 469.46 | $0.701 | $329.1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 52.66 | $0.033 | $1.74 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 52.67 | $0.210 | $11.06 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 286.12 | $0.699 | $200 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 144.43 | $0.692 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 38.92 | $0.692 | $26.93 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 58 | $0.767 | $44.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 30 | $0.744 | $22.32 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.857 | $1.18 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 188.09 | $0.006 | $1.17 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.740 | $1.13 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 430.33 | $0.932 | $401.07 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 927.54 | $0.002 | $1.86 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 125 | $0.879 | $109.84 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 423.29 | $0.898 | $380.11 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.897 | $89.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 901.69 | $0.025 | $22.32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.19 | $0.979 | $6.06 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 445 | $0.248 | $110.35 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | buy | 409.18 | $0.978 | $400 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?Yes | buy | 94.39 | $0.980 | $92.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 447.79 | $0.964 | $431.72 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 2.48K | $0.999 | $2.48K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 436.42 | $0.970 | $423.33 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 97.14 | $0.169 | $16.42 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 845.84 | $0.908 | $767.68 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 6.79 | $0.937 | $6.36 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 481 | $0.830 | $399.23 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 800 | $0.990 | $792 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 16.26 | $0.988 | $16.06 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 427.54 | $0.993 | $424.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |