Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 14 | $0.778 | $12.52 | +$1.63 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Modi out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.919 | $4.6 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 14 |
| $0.859 |
| $12.34 |
| +$0.32 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.853 | $8.65 | +$0.12 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 7 | $0.860 | $5.74 | -$0.28 |
 Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 6 | $0.864 | $5.31 | +$0.13 |
 China coup attempt before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.960 | $4.82 | +$0.02 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.900 | $4.73 | +$0.23 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.919 | $4.7 | +$0.11 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.910 | $4.6 | +$0.05 |
 Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 37 | $0.220 | $3.33 | -$4.81 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 36 | $0.140 | $1.98 | -$3.06 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | No | 12 | $0.143 | $1.62 | -$0.1 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | Yes | 34 | $0.073 | $1.26 | -$1.23 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | 15 | $0.110 | $0.98 | -$0.68 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | Yes | 13 | $0.090 | $0.53 | -$0.64 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 6 | $0.330 | $0.45 | -$1.53 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.184 |
| $1.1 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.853 | $8.53 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.110 | $1.65 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.090 | $1.17 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 7 | $0.860 | $6.02 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.900 | $4.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.330 | $1.98 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.868 | $4.34 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.075 | $1.35 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.854 | $7.69 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.071 | $1.14 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.790 | $6.32 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.252 | $1.26 | May 27, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.927 | $7.42 | May 27, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.074 | $2 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.220 | $8.14 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.076 | $1.14 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.102 | $1.33 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.899 | $9.89 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.850 | $7.65 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.150 | $1.2 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No | buy | 14 | $0.850 | $11.9 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.150 | $1.35 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No | buy | 9 | $0.820 | $7.38 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.906 | $15.4 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.125 | $1 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.170 | $3.57 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.778 | $10.89 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 7 | $0.750 | $5.25 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.260 | $4.94 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.140 | $5.04 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.211 | $1.27 | Mar 16, 2026 |