Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.109 | $0.57 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.2 |
| $0.830 |
| $1.16 |
| +$0.16 |
 Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.916 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto | Nothing | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| sell |
| 1.22 |
| $0.952 |
| $1.16 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.502 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.925 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoNothing | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.916 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.029 | $1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.817 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.416 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 More EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.923 | $2 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |