Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 130.74 | $0.765 | $122.24 | +$22.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 80.84 | $0.440 | $35.57 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.77K |
| $0.130 |
| $67.23 |
| -$162.77 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | Yes | 2.04K | $0.098 | $48.04 | -$151.95 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027? | Yes | 1.24K | $0.081 | $20.43 | -$79.57 |
 Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | Yes | 268.63 | $0.074 | $5.64 | -$14.36 |
| buy |
| 75.76 |
| $0.660 |
| $50 |
| Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 130.74 | $0.765 | $100 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 278.75 | $0.717 | $200 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.958 | $47.9 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 45.41 | $0.572 | $25.96 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No | sell | 4.57 | $0.640 | $2.92 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Oman again in March?Yes | buy | 325.1 | $0.775 | $251.97 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Oman again in March?Yes | buy | 259.97 | $0.769 | $200 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?Yes | buy | 154.01 | $0.649 | $100 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?Yes | buy | 37.7 | $0.592 | $22.33 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?Yes | buy | 75.57 | $0.588 | $44.44 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.130 | $52 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No | buy | 78 | $0.641 | $50 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | sell | 18.71 | $0.290 | $5.43 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.480 | $40 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 184.48 | $0.542 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes | sell | 64.51 | $0.190 | $12.26 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MarchNothing | buy | 496.9 | $0.201 | $100 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 21.75 | $0.330 | $7.18 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.300 | $50 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 375.43 | $0.740 | $277.82 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.380 | $30 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?Yes | buy | 101.45 | $0.690 | $70 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 192.65 | $0.260 | $50 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 327.81 | $0.160 | $52.45 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.105 | $52.42 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 722.14 | $0.068 | $48.8 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | sell | 31.2 | $0.870 | $27.14 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | sell | 450.57 | $0.048 | $21.63 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 763.43 | $0.070 | $53.44 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No | sell | 28.4 | $0.956 | $27.14 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: FebruarySomething | sell | 51.28 | $0.420 | $21.54 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?Yes | buy | 268.63 | $0.074 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?Yes | buy | 64.52 | $0.310 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: FebruarySomething | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.143 | $10 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 163.77 | $0.012 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.300 | $40 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 108.9 | $0.050 | $5.44 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?Yes | buy | 137.84 | $0.363 | $50 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 865.54 | $0.027 | $23.37 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 239.18 | $0.167 | $40 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 285.71 | $0.140 | $40 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |