Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.15K | $0.974 | $2.09K | Mar 16, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 772.37 |
| $0.941 |
| $726.8 |
| Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Transgender" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)No | buy | 795.3 | $0.440 | $350 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address?Yes | buy | 820.27 | $0.731 | $600 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.767 | $934.77 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes | buy | 234 | $0.641 | $150.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 333.56 | $0.450 | $150.1 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.740 | $805.23 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.782 | $805.22 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 333.57 | $0.786 | $262.34 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.690 | $300 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.877 | $1.81K | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?No | sell | 508.71 | $0.367 | $186.94 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?No | buy | 508.71 | $0.633 | $322.24 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.560 | $700 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 760.54 | $0.920 | $700 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | sell | 358.41 | $0.999 | $358.05 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 557.88 | $0.974 | $543.48 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 568.18 | $0.971 | $551.59 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.906 | $1.25K | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 568.18 | $0.880 | $500 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 557.88 | $0.896 | $500 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | sell | 555.55 | $0.910 | $505.55 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 269.12 | $0.743 | $200 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 555.56 | $0.900 | $500 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | sell | 1.48K | $0.996 | $1.48K | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 511.03 | $0.950 | $485.48 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 545.45 | $0.110 | $60 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?No | buy | 562.34 | $0.889 | $500 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Yes | buy | 204.35 | $0.665 | $135.8 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No | buy | 400 | $0.860 | $344 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?No | buy | 645.48 | $0.930 | $600 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 622.76 | $0.803 | $500 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?Yes | buy | 932.17 | $0.536 | $500 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 972.14 | $0.838 | $814.7 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?Yes | buy | 766.86 | $0.912 | $699.67 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 358.41 | $0.900 | $322.57 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 902.22 | $0.708 | $638.54 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.14K | $0.894 | $1.92K | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 110.84 | $0.902 | $100.03 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | sell | 67.79 | $0.730 | $49.49 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?No | sell | 619.92 | $0.082 | $50.55 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?No | buy | 619.92 | $0.275 | $170.27 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 182.12 | $0.935 | $170.27 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?Yes | buy | 47.84 | $0.803 | $38.41 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | sell | 54.79 | $0.700 | $38.35 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?Yes | buy | 79.81 | $0.476 | $38 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 43.35 | $0.878 | $38.06 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 182.13 | $0.944 | $171.9 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 99.85 | $0.720 | $71.89 | Feb 15, 2026 |