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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 17.54 | $0.570 | $15.18 | +$5.18 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.450 | $6.82 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 7.25 |
| $0.690 |
| $6.41 |
| +$1.41 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 26.6 | $0.188 | $6.4 | +$1.4 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $2.79 | -$2.21 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 145.78 | $0.045 | $2.77 | -$3.79 |
 Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | No | 12.5 | $0.160 | $1.56 | -$0.44 |
 Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 125 | $0.016 | $1.31 | -$0.69 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $1.13 | -$0.88 |
| buy |
| 7.04 |
| $0.710 |
| $5 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 12.42 | $0.207 | $2.57 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.286 | $15.89 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.600 | $5.66 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.890 | $5.7 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.82 | $0.170 | $1.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes | buy | 255.36 | $0.020 | $5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.982 | $2.48 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.969 | $13.84 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.332 | $8 | May 17, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?No | sell | 6.12 | $0.520 | $3.18 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 15.92 | $0.997 | $15.87 | May 16, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.300 | $1.69 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | May 8, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 26.42 | $0.530 | $14 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No | sell | 11.81 | $0.470 | $5.55 | May 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | May 2, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 91.37 | $0.109 | $9.96 | May 2, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | sell | 10.05 | $0.460 | $4.62 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 91.38 | $0.080 | $7.31 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.600 | $7.31 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.340 | $3.42 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.820 | $3.41 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 145.78 | $0.045 | $6.56 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.460 | $6.57 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No | buy | 11.82 | $0.380 | $4.49 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US bank failure by December 31?No | sell | 21.66 | $0.299 | $6.48 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.610 | $1.17 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-25?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.530 | $1.06 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?No | buy | 32.68 | $0.092 | $3 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US bank failure by December 31?No | buy | 21.67 | $0.231 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 15.92 | $0.628 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.005 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |