Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 14.42 | $0.555 | $10.45 | +$2.45 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 10.87 |
| $0.460 |
| $10.05 |
| +$5.05 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | Yes | 15.07 | $0.663 | $7.99 | -$2.01 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 7.59 | $0.658 | $7.13 | +$2.13 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 6.95 | $0.863 | $3.72 | -$2.28 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.16 | $0.633 | $2.94 | +$0.94 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1.5 | +$0.5 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
 OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31? | Meta | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
 Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1.26 | +$0.26 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 1.48 | $0.676 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 1.29 | $0.775 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| buy |
| 1.14 |
| $0.880 |
| $1 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.676 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.714 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.946 | $1.08 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.949 | $0.97 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.992 | $1.08 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.920 | $1.19 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 5.95 | $0.995 | $5.92 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.12 | $0.001 | $0 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.037 | $0.04 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.07 | $0.664 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.15 | $0.961 | $2.07 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.942 | $1.02 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Sam Altman in jail by June 30?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.998 | $1.07 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 1.16 | $0.973 | $1.13 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.981 | $1.15 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?No | sell | 3.74 | $0.951 | $3.56 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.910 | $1.24 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 3.96 | $0.987 | $3.91 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Another Elon baby by June 30?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.985 | $1.31 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Megaquake by June 30?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.966 | $1.48 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.999 | $1.61 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.139 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.142 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.198 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |