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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.021 | $1.05 | 18d ago |
|
| buy |
| 51 |
| $0.020 |
| $1.02 |
| 18d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?Yes | buy | 98.27 | $0.011 | $1.08 | 18d ago |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August 2026?Yes | buy | 105.08 | $0.010 | $1.05 | 18d ago |
 Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | May 20, 2026 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 129.71 | $0.027 | $3.49 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 143 | $0.026 | $3.72 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 132.74 | $0.025 | $3.32 | May 13, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.083 | $8.3 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.068 | $6.8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.068 | $6.78 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.068 | $6.8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.068 | $13.6 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 485.37 | $0.006 | $2.91 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 695.91 | $0.001 | $0.7 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 110.85 | $0.047 | $5.2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.02 | $0.170 | $9.52 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 105.45 | $0.430 | $45.34 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 94.35 | $0.210 | $19.81 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.038 | $7.6 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 54.06 | $0.037 | $2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.036 | $4.79 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.6 | $0.070 | $1.51 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 173.03 | $0.013 | $2.25 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 322.82 | $0.059 | $19.05 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.001 | $4 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 664.75 | $0.003 | $1.99 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 129.12 | $0.003 | $0.39 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.319 | $255.22 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.100 | $6.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 29.79 | $0.299 | $8.91 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 1.32K | $0.002 | $2.63 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 96.8 | $0.140 | $13.55 | Feb 27, 2026 |