Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 2.12K | $0.074 | $89.18 | -$68.64 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 137.41 | $0.046 | $6.32 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.35K |
| $0.059 |
| $51.82 |
| -$28.18 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 356.03 | $0.182 | $51.62 | -$13.03 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 629.73 | $0.149 | $46.29 | -$47.54 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 51.41 | $0.389 | $32.06 | +$12.06 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | No | 284.81 | $0.179 | $31.33 | -$19.71 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 115.87 | $0.242 | $16.8 | -$11.3 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 833.33 | $0.018 | $15.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 125 | $0.160 | $13.13 | -$6.88 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 268.52 | $0.074 | $12.75 | -$7.24 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 153.78 | $0.130 | $10.53 | -$9.46 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 58.82 | $0.170 | $9.41 | -$0.59 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.120 | $9.17 | -$10.83 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 337.5 | $0.080 | $7.09 | -$19.91 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.140 | $6.25 | -$3.75 |
 Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | Yes | 34.48 | $0.290 | $5.86 | -$4.14 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 30.3 | $0.330 | $5 | -$5 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | No | 90.91 | $0.220 | $4.64 | -$15.36 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 267.92 | $0.009 | $3.62 | +$1.22 |
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.43K | $0.007 | $2.14 | -$7.86 |
 Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? | No | 46.25 | $0.108 | $1.09 | -$3.91 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 62.34 | $0.160 | $0.44 | -$9.56 |
| sell |
| 1.69K |
| $0.004 |
| $6.34 |
| Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Yes | buy | 651.75 | $0.078 | $51.13 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 63.41 | $0.840 | $53.26 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Yes | buy | 717.86 | $0.056 | $40.49 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 96.92 | $0.009 | $0.87 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 83.74 | $0.230 | $19.26 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 211.14 | $0.149 | $31.46 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.999 | $43.43 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 87.5 | $0.080 | $7 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.039 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No | sell | 40.37 | $0.946 | $38.19 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 217.25 | $0.149 | $32.37 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Yes | buy | 170.2 | $0.294 | $50 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 201.34 | $0.149 | $30 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Yes | buy | 53.05 | $0.377 | $20 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 110.92 | $0.045 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?Yes | buy | 29.2 | $0.342 | $10 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 113.42 | $0.617 | $70 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 35.82 | $0.263 | $9.42 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes | sell | 34.6 | $0.232 | $8.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?Yes | buy | 34.6 | $0.289 | $10 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.054 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.09 | $0.161 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.018 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 124.45 | $0.121 | $15 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.710 | $33.8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.065 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |