Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | -$0 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.96 | $0.550 | $1.08 | Feb 10, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1.23 |
| $0.810 |
| $1.22 |
| +$0.22 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.2 | $0.834 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.520 | $0.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $0.91 | -$0.09 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 2.11 |
| $0.460 |
| $0.97 |
| Feb 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.1 | $0.810 | $1.7 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Sevilla FC | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETDown | buy | 8.29 | $0.120 | $0.99 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETDown | buy | 3.26 | $0.300 | $0.98 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - February 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 65.29 | $0.015 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?Up | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.165 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.05 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.1 | $0.999 | $2.1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.969 | $1.11 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.800 | $1.61 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.640 | $1.36 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.860 | $1.37 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.790 | $1.66 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.8 | $0.966 | $1.74 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.834 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.820 | $1.95 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 2.14 | $0.999 | $2.14 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.590 | $2.18 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 2.59 | $0.880 | $2.28 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.12 | $0.740 | $3.05 | Jan 15, 2026 |