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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 237.77 | $0.973 | $231.44 | Jan 28, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 192.31 |
| $0.062 |
| $11.97 |
| Jan 28, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 204.4 | $0.996 | $203.58 | Jan 28, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 15.95 | $0.996 | $15.89 | Jan 28, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.95 | $0.950 | $15.15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 168.34 | $0.090 | $15.15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 204.4 | $0.972 | $198.69 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 73.37 | $0.800 | $58.7 | Jan 8, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.910 | $139.99 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 73.38 | $0.954 | $70 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | Jan 7, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 121.95 | $0.984 | $120 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 100.77 | $0.880 | $88.68 | Jan 5, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.984 | $120 | Jan 5, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.910 | $140 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 256.41 | $0.870 | $223.08 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 129.89 | $0.967 | $125.6 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 129.89 | $0.940 | $122.1 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.780 | $200 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 217.4 | $0.928 | $201.74 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.23 | $0.982 | $50.31 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Central Michigan vs. NorthwesternNorthwestern | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?Yes | buy | 37.88 | $0.660 | $25 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Epstein client list released in 2025?Yes | buy | 461.38 | $0.061 | $28 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 229.88 | $0.880 | $202.29 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 138.48 | $0.910 | $126.01 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 138.49 | $0.900 | $124.64 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of December?Yes | sell | 102.7 | $0.982 | $100.85 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 122.17 | $0.860 | $105.07 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of December?Yes | buy | 102.71 | $0.974 | $100 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 50.51 | $0.990 | $50 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 51.1 | $0.978 | $50 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 342.77 | $0.890 | $305.07 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 118.04 | $0.890 | $105.06 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 224.72 | $0.890 | $200 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 95.68 | $0.984 | $94.15 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Border" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 76.09 | $0.920 | $70 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Inflation" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 74.47 | $0.940 | $70 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" while addressing the nation on December 17?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 338.72 | $0.839 | $284.15 | Dec 17, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 338.73 | $0.875 | $296.43 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 141.59 | $0.970 | $137.34 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 53.81 | $0.640 | $34.44 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 53.81 | $0.430 | $23.14 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 154.84 | $0.969 | $150 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Korn Ferry (KFY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 51.25 | $0.976 | $50 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 235.01 | $0.940 | $220.91 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 51.65 | $0.968 | $50 | Dec 9, 2025 |