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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.7 | $0.962 | $0.69 | +$0.01 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 35 | $0.967 | $33.85 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 0.58 |
| $0.973 |
| $0.57 |
| +$0 |
| buy |
| 35 |
| $0.967 |
| $33.85 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 39 | $0.860 | $33.54 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.963 | $32.74 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.860 | $30.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.784 | $33.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.987 | $30.6 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 53 | $0.630 | $33.39 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.982 | $30.44 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.470 | $7.05 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.985 | $30.54 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 45 | $0.680 | $30.6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.040 | $0.6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.500 | $4 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 31 | $0.978 | $30.32 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.979 | $30.35 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 33 | $0.936 | $30.89 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.204 | $16.93 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.430 | $5.59 | May 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.430 | $19.35 | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.023 | $1.59 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.983 | $9.83 | May 30, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.980 | $20.58 | May 30, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 67 | $0.460 | $30.82 | May 28, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 67 | $0.510 | $34.17 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.440 | $13.64 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.440 | $36.96 | May 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.560 | $29.68 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 16.11 | $0.590 | $9.5 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.660 | $36.96 | May 25, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.959 | $37.4 | May 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.410 | $16.4 | May 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.710 | $19.17 | May 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 46 | $0.640 | $29.44 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.977 | $40.06 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 8 | $0.962 | $7.7 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.220 | $19.8 | May 21, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.973 | $36.97 | May 21, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.230 | $6.9 | May 21, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.280 | $3.64 | May 20, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.979 | $5.87 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.570 | $18.81 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 40 | $0.960 | $38.4 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.039 | $0.08 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 3 | $0.863 | $2.59 | May 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 42 | $0.960 | $40.32 | May 15, 2026 |