Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 136.86 | $0.957 | $130.98 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 300 |
| $0.690 |
| $207 |
| Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.290 | $232 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.860 | $258 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 320 | $0.430 | $137.6 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 360 | $0.350 | $126 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 487.59 | $0.665 | $324.24 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 459.99 | $0.240 | $110.4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.120 | $48 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.130 | $14.3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.016 | $4.92 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.998 | $998 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 1.72K | $0.004 | $6.9 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1.72K | $0.580 | $1K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.350 | $280 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 21.75 | $0.951 | $20.68 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 27?Up | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.070 | $35 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | buy | 278.92 | $0.160 | $44.63 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.170 | $18.7 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.580 | $174 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.130 | $52 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.080 | $40 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.840 | $252 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.340 | $102 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 186.27 | $0.550 | $102.45 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 320 | $0.610 | $195.2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.800 | $800 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 884.05 | $0.190 | $167.97 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | sell | 182.57 | $0.920 | $167.96 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 182.57 | $0.910 | $166.14 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.02K | $0.030 | $121.25 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.27K | $0.110 | $359.37 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes | sell | 0.4 | $0.180 | $0.07 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025?No | sell | 800 | $0.880 | $704 | Jan 14, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?Yes | sell | 174.37 | $0.240 | $41.85 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.110 | $110 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?Yes | sell | 7.51K | $0.040 | $300.28 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.060 | $18 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.300 | $9.6 | Jan 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?Yes | sell | 268 | $0.310 | $83.08 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?Yes | sell | 358.03 | $0.060 | $21.48 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?Yes | sell | 194.41 | $0.021 | $4.08 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?Yes | sell | 45.48 | $0.100 | $4.55 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?No | sell | 35.73 | $0.690 | $24.65 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.750 | $749.99 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Biden pardon Fauci?No | sell | 238.75 | $0.660 | $157.58 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?Yes | sell | 6.21K | $0.050 | $310.59 | Jan 9, 2025 |